June 15, 2004

Israel losing a friend?

Ilan Berman says an important strategic shift is underway in another corner of the Middle East, and not for the better.

Since their start in the early 1990s, the military and defense ties between Ankara and Jerusalem have evolved into one of the Middle East's most important geopolitical alliances. But now, that strategic partnership has begun showing signs of serious strain. Angered by Israel's recent offensive against the Hamas terrorist organization, eager to boost ties with Europe and new regional allies, and responding to the demands of its core Islamist constituency, the government of Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan appears to have begun a unilateral rollback of strategic cooperation with Jerusalem.

This abrupt chill is indicative of a larger reorientation underway in Ankara. Since coming to power in late 2002, the Islamist AKP has put a premium on charting an independent foreign policy course. In practice, this has brought Ankara closer to historic regional rivals like Syria and Iran while cooling its relationships with both Jerusalem and Washington. At the same time, Turkish officials have begun concerted efforts to more closely align their country's foreign policy with Europe.

Tip via the American Foreign Policy Council

How much is caused by Islamism, and how much is caused by a need to align with anti-Israeli sentiment in the EU? Probably both.

Posted by Alan at June 15, 2004 05:36 PM